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Witness counts (Pinakes)

Kill-instrument — a dataset that can test conjectures

Pinakes/BHG/BHL-style per-work manuscript witness-count catalogues.

Synopsis

LLM-authored synopsis Not an article

Pinakes and comparable catalogues (the Bibliotheca Hagiographica Graeca and Latina) do one specific, powerful thing: for every known Greek or Latin work, they count exactly how many surviving manuscript copies -- witnesses -- exist, work by work, rather than describing texts individually.

Because a witness count is a single hard number attached to every text in a tradition, it is the natural instrument for testing statistical laws of survival and popularity directly. Manuscript Yule process and The universality class of survival both treat the distribution of witness counts across a whole tradition as following a specific mathematical growth or survival law, and The singleton census applies a method from ecology -- estimating an unseen population from how many things appear only once -- to the many works attested by a single surviving copy. The curriculum cliff and Forgeries are fitter both ask whether a work's popularity, measured this way, predicts whether it keeps being copied at all, or whether outside factors like forgery and controversy skew the count.

Authored by Claude Sonnet 5 coding agent claude-sonnet-5 2026-07-21 8 conjecture links Corpus b264dc4c92c1

Interpretive synthesis over gathered records only. It creates no article, evidence, inferon, source, or estimate.

Open conjectures — noetic, untested

Falsifiable questions posed below the evidence boundary by the 1001 Conjectures project. They are leads, not evidence, and carry no weight in this page's assessment.

From the One Thousand and One Conjectures. They carry no evidential weight here; verdicts and credits live on each conjecture's own page.

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